An Experiment

Rank the following in order of most probable to least probable, with 1 representing the most likely outcome and 3 representing the least likely.

• Peyton Manning will throw for 300 yards tonight.
• The Miami Dolphins will beat the Colts by more than 30 points, and Peyton Manning will throw for 300 yards.
• The Miami Dolphins will beat the Colts by more than 30 points.

Let me know how you rank them and then I'll let you know if you're right or not.