Sunday, October 01, 2006

NFL Picks: Week 4

NY JETS (+9) over Indianapolis
The Jets have been feisty this year, and I seem to remember Peyton Manning traditionally struggling against the Jets throughout his career. (The Colts better win outright, though. They're my King of the Hill team this week.)

San Diego (-2.5) over BALTIMORE
Baltimore had trouble handling the Browns, so what are they going to do against an actual NFL team?

Minnesota (+1) over BUFFALO
I’m still not buying the Bills, although Willis McGahee looks like he’s bounced back from a down year last season. And can you believe I just talked about the Vikings without mentioning Brad Childress’s mustache? (Dammit.)

Dallas (-9) over TENNESSEE
Vince Young gets his first career start against one of the top 5 defenses in the league. Good luck, kid.

San Francisco (+7) over KANSAS CITY
I know it’s a bit crazy to take a road dog, and that it’s crazier to take a road dog at Arrowhead, and that it’s eating-my-own-shit crazy to take a road dog at Arrowhead when that road dog is San Francisco, but I just can’t pick a team quarterbacked by Brock (or Damon) Huard to score seven points, let alone cover seven.

New Orleans (+7) over CAROLINA
I heard the guy who inspired the hit movie Two for the Money say something about how Carolina never covers at home, so I’ll go with him even though it really seems like the Saints are in for a letdown.

ATLANTA (-7.5) over Arizona
This is going to be one of those games where Atlanta is only up by four with two minutes left and then Kurt Warner throws a pick that D’Angelo Hall returns for a seemingly meaningless touchdown that just happens to cover. Mark it down.

Miami (-3.5) over HOUSTON
If Daunte Culpepper can’t get it going against the same Texans D that made Mark Brunnell look like Rich Gannon, then the Dolphins may start wishing they had that second round pick they gave Minnesota back.

ST. LOUIS (-5.5) over Detroit
Hey Detroit fans, how ‘bout them Tigers? You better hope they pull a White Sox and storm to the World Series, because they’re all you’ve got until the WNBA season starts back up (go Sparks!).

New England (+5.5) over CINCINNATI
Chad Johnson is so much fun that he actually got Bill Belichick to start talking shit. And when Belichick is talking shit, he must be pretty goddamn confident in his gameplan. So watch out, Bengals.

Jacksonville (-2.5) over WASHINGTON
Mark Brunnell may become the first man ever to throw 22 straight completions one week and then throw 22 straight incompletions the next. The Jaguars D is fierce, in a predatory cat kind of way, not a sharply dressed man kind of way.

Cleveland (-2.5) over OAKLAND
Charlie Frye and the Browns won in Oakland last year when the Raiders had at least a smidgen of competence in their pirate bones. If the Brownies lay an egg today, I’m done with them for the year.

Seattle (+3) over CHICAGO
This should be a hell of a game. I know Shaun Alexander is out, but Rex Grossman hasn’t seen a defense like Seattle’s yet. I’m picking the Seahawks’ D to win this one.

I’ll have my Monday night pick tomorrow.

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